国家体育产业示范基地建设能否推动城市经济增长？——基于政策效果评估视角

doi:10.15942/j.jcsu.2022.03.020

Abstract

Abstract: The construction of national sports industry demonstration bases is an important part of the implementation of central location-oriented policy, and is also an innovation and growth pole of future urban economic development.From the perspective of policy effect assessment, the article takes the establishment of national sports industry demonstration base as a quasi-natural experiment, and assesses the net effect of national sports industry demonstration base on city economic growth by thedouble difference method of tendency scoring and identifies the working mechanism behind the effect. The empirical results show: Firstly, the establishment of national sports industry demonstration base did not promote urban economic growth during the research period. On the contrary, it played an inhibitory role, and the result wasstable. The establishment of demonstration base has a significant inhibitory effect on the economic growth in eastern cities during the research period, whilethe effect on the economic growth in western cities is not significant. Secondly, the effect has a lag phase of about three years, and both the positive and the marginal effect will increase over time. Thirdly, urban development level will influence the policyeffect, and the scale of government fiscal revenue has a significant inhibitory policy effect. Therefore, it is necessary to coordinate sports industry and economic development in different regions; to take the demonstration base construction as a systematic engineering to cultivate the vitality and competence of demonstration bases, and to build connectionsbetween demonstration base and consumer market through publicityto boost public sports consumption.

Key words: sports industry, demonstration base, new model, new form;economic growth, assessment of policy effect

CLC Number:

G80-052

LI Haijie, ZHANG Ying, WANG Chenxi. Could the Construction of National Sports Industry Demonstration Base Promote Urban Economic Growth？ ——Based on the Perspective of Policy Effect Evaluation[J]. Journal of Chengdu Sport University, 2022, 48(3): 128-133.

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Could the Construction of National Sports Industry Demonstration Base Promote Urban Economic Growth？ ——Based on the Perspective of Policy Effect Evaluation

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